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College Football Predictions: Oklahoma vs. Texas Preview

Texas Oklahoma Football

Our preview of the 2011 Red River Rivalry will include predictions on the Oklahoma vs. Texas score.


The #1 Oklahoma Sooners (4-0) and the #10 Texas Longhorns (4-0) are all set for Saturday’s early 12:00 PM ET meeting, and we’ll preview the 2011 Red River Rivalry with information on both squads.  The Oklahoma vs. Texas game will be shown live on ABC, and the Sooners are currently favored by 10.5 on the point spread at Legends Sportsbook.


Oklahoma and Texas began the Red River Rivalry way back in 1900, and the Longhorns have won 59 of the 100 overall college football clashes between the schools.  Oklahoma was a 28-20 winner last year, while Texas grabbed a 16-13 victory in 2009.  The Longhorns have won 4 of the last 6 against the Sooners, and none of the last 4 head-to-head meetings have seen a team win by more than 10.


Although the Longhorns are listed as the home team in the 2011 Red River Rivalry, the game is actually played yearly on a neutral field at the Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas, Texas.  Starting quarterbacks will be Landry Jones (1447 yards, 71.6%, 10 TD, 5 INT) for Oklahoma and Case McCoy (335 yards, 70.3%, 2 TD, 0 INT) for Texas, although the Longhorns are expected to bring in David Ash (213 yards, 68.4%, 2 TD, 0 INT) on certain packages.


The Sooners have been the more efficient offense, scoring 42.5 points per game on 377.8 passing and 177.2 rushing yards.  Texas has been productive, but their 34.2 points per game on 214.8 passing and 206.0 rushing yards are a tick behind Oklahoma’s statistics.  The Longhorns have been the better running team, and their ability to produce on the ground will be extremely important considering the inexperience of their quarterbacks.


Defensively you have to like Texas here.  The Longhorns are allowing 14.8 points per game to 15.2 for Oklahoma, and Texas also leads in passing yards allowed, rushing yards allowed, yards allowed per carry, and yards allowed per attempt.  That being said, Texas hasn’t faced an offense like Oklahoma’s during their winning streak over Rice, BYU, UCLA, and Iowa State.


Oklahoma’s wins this season have come against Tulsa, Florida State, Missouri, and Ball State.  The Sooners are allowing 129.0 rushing yards per game on 3.9 per carry, and that has to be an area of concern for the favorites.  Another important facet to our Oklahoma vs. Texas predictions will be how well the Longhorns can stop Jones and company from passing.  The Sooners have an air attack that is amongst the best in college football, while Texas’ secondary and pass blitzes have been on point this year.


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Ultimately I feel that Texas is being undervalued here and that they possess the tools to win the 2011 Red River Rivalry.  Jones has made some mistakes with the ball this year and I believe that the Oklahoma defense will let the team down a bit.  Texas has the rushing attack to move the ball, and that should help mask whatever issues the young quarterbacks have.  I expect both teams to score and for this one to come down to the wire.


Oklahoma vs. Texas Score Predictions:


Oklahoma 24

Texas 26


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