It’s time to preview the Pac 12 Championship game between UCLA and Oregon with score predictions.
In what might be the worst conference championship game in the history of college football, and UCLA Bruins (6-6) will attempt to pull the huge upset over the #7 Oregon Ducks (10-2) on Friday. The game has a start time of 8:00 PM ET and you can catch the Pac 12 Championship Game live on the FOX channel.
Oregon has won 3 straight over UCLA while covering the point spread in the last two. Oregon was a 60-13 winner at home last season and also won 24-10 on the road in 2009 as 3-point favorites. Despite the Ducks’ reputation as a high-scoring team, 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these schools have gone under the wagering total. 5Dimes Sportsbook has the Pac 12 Championship Game odds favoring Oregon by 31.5, while the total sits fairly high at 66.5. UCLA is just 1-5 on the road this year and will likely be in for a long night against an Oregon team that has amassed a 6-1 mark at home this season.
UCLA’s Offense vs. Oregon’s Defense:
The Bruins have actually done a nice job of running the ball this year, but their erratic quarterback play has them averaging only 23.2 points per game. Richard Brehaut (935 yards, 55.5%, 6 TD, 0 INT) is listed as doubtful as he recovers from a fractured leg, and that leaves Kevin Prince (1463 yards, 58.6%, 8 TD, 7 INT) as the likely starter. Prince has been serviceable but his decision making is often in question. The key to putting up big points against Oregon is to pass for big yards against them, and I just don’t see UCLA doing that.
Oregon’s Offense vs. UCLA’s Defense:
The Ducks average 45.9 points per game while averaging 219.6 passing and 291.0 rushing yards per game this season. UCLA’s defense allows 178.2 rushing yards on average and it doesn’t appear they’ll be able to do much to slow down Oregon tonight. Texas and Arizona both outrushed the Bruins by over 100 yards, and the two teams averaged 48.5 points against UCLA. Look for the Ducks to score as many points as they feel like in this one.
UCLA vs. Oregon Predictions:
I don’t really think it needs to be said, but our predictions call for Oregon to win this one outright. Calling the point spread winner gets a little trickier, but when you look at UCLA’s full body of work it gets a little easier. They’ve scored a high of 20 points this season in their 5 games against above average defenses, and they’ve been pretty poor on the road. Look for Oregon to be fired up and for their fans to cause some penalties on UCLA. The Bruins are simply not strong enough of a team to hang with the Ducks and I’m calling for the favorite to win in a rout. The over might be the best bet of the bunch, and I’ll also make a recommendation on that.