It’s time for college football predictions in the 2011 Alamo Bowl game between Baylor and Washington.
The Washington Huskies (7-5) and the #16 Baylor Bears (9-3) will meet up in the Alamo Bowl on December 29th, and we’ll preview the game to give everyone an idea of what to expect. Start time of the Washington vs. Baylor game is set for 9:00 PM ET and the game will be shown live on the ESPN channel.
Baylor is considered the superior team by just about everyone and it is a bit odd to examine the line movement in the Alamo Bowl. The Bears opened up as 10-point favorites but have been bet down to -9.5 at 5Dimes Sportsbook despite college football wager-tracking websites showing that Baylor is garnering close to 80% of the action on the point spread. The total has also shifted quite a bit and now sits at 78.5 after opening up at 75 earlier in the week.
Washington’s Offense vs. Baylor’s Defense:
The Huskies have a capable offense that averages 31.5 points per game while blending the run and the pass effectively. Quarterback Keith Price (2625 yards, 67.4%, 29 TD, 11 INT) has been effective for Washington, but I am a little concerned with how poorly these guys have put it together on the road as opposed to at home. Baylor’s defense has been terrible this season and is allowing 35.7 points per game while failing to stop the run or the pass, so it makes sense for Washington to score quite a bit in the Alamo Bowl.
Baylor’s Offense vs. Washington’s Defense:
The Bears are led by Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III (3998 yards, 72.4%, 36 TD, 6 INT), and this offense is nearly impossible to stop as long as they don’t self-destruct with turnovers like they did against Oklahoma State. Baylor dominates with both the run and the pass, and the Huskies will have plenty of trouble stopping them. Washington’s defense allows 33.3 points per game and I haven’t seen anything that leads me to believe they’ll be able to slow down a team that just put up 48 against Texas and 45 against Oklahoma; 2 teams that are superior defensively to the Huskies.
Washington vs. Baylor Predictions:
The Alamo Bowl is setting up to be a very high-scoring affair where neither team will be able to stop the other. The point spread moving in the direction it has despite the public support for Baylor suggests that someone with a large amount of money believes that the Huskies can score at will here, and I tend to agree with them. The total is too high for a bet on the over in my opinion, but my Washington vs. Baylor predictions call for a bet on the underdog to keep it close in a game full of big plays and top-end offense.
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