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Friday MLB Best Bet: Marlins vs. Dodgers
Written by Jake Thompson
Friday, 27 May 2011 03:45
The MLB best bet for Friday will be in the game between the Marlins and the Dodgers.
Online sportsbooks have the home-team Los Angeles Dodgers (22-69) as -120 betting favorites against the Florida Marlins (29-19), and this game will be the MLB best bet for Friday. The odds are a bit odd when you figure in that Florida is 15-7 on the road and Los Angeles is just 11-14 at home. The Marlins have won 2 of the 3 head-to-head meetings this year, as well as 4 of 6 during the season before.
Tracked MLB bettors are favoring the Marlins at a decent ratio, and it’s tough to back the Dodgers after they’ve batted just .214 over their last 10 games. Marlins’ starter Javier Vazquez (3-4, 1.73 WHIP, 6.41 ERA) has been terrible this season, but is coming off a 7-inning shutout effort against Tampa Bay for his first decent start this season. Vazquez finally had his velocity at a decent mark after struggling to speed up his fastball for much of the year, and it will be interesting to see how he does against a team he most recently limited to 1 run over 8 innings back in 2009.
The Dodgers will counter with Jon Garland (1-4, 1.44 WHIP, 4.75 ERA) and the right-handed veteran has also been below average this season. Florida is expecting superstar shortstop Hanley Ramirez (foot) to be back in action after missing Thursday’s game, and the Marlins have hit .240 over their last 10 contests. Garland is coming off a rough start but did go into Florida earlier this season, holding the Marlins to just 4 hits and 2 earned runs over 7 innings. He simply puts too many guys on base and isn’t going to be helped much from a bullpen that has a 1.50 WHIP and 4.73 ERA on the season.
Both teams lack a ton of pop and I don’t expect either squad to score a ton of runs despite how poorly both guys have looked this season. Vazquez seems like a better bet to have a quality start after figuring it out last game, and I have to back the Marlins as road underdogs until Los Angeles figures out a way to score runs and avoid giving up a ton of late runs thanks to iffy relief pitching.
Marlins 4
Dodgers 2