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Saturday MLB Best Bet: Athletics vs. Rangers
Written by Jake Thompson
Saturday, 09 July 2011 03:31
Saturday’s MLB best bet should be an easy winner in the game between the Athletics and the Rangers.
The Oakland Athletics (39-50) have been one of the big disappointments this season, and we’ll tell if they’ll be able to get past the home-team Texas Rangers (48-41) in this 8:05 PM ET game. Online sportsbooks have the Rangers as -165 favorites and close to 65% of MLB bettors are taking Texas at those odds. Oakland’s 16-29 record on the road this season plays a part in that percentage, but the Rangers’ 28-18 home mark is also instilling confidence in gamblers.
Why the Athletics Will Win
Oakland starter Brandon McCarthy (1-5, 1.19 WHIP, 3.33 ERA) has been very good this year, and his win/loss record is definitely not indicative of how well he has pitched. Although the Rangers have been smashing batters at home this year, it is worth noting that the Athletics have won 4 of the 7 games this year. McCarthy has won his last two starts against Texas, allowing 0 earned runs off just 8 hits over 13.2 innings. The Rangers’ bullpen is a wildcard, and their 1.32 WHIP and 3.52 ERA indicate that even the light-hitting Athletics could score some late runs.
Why the Rangers Will Win
Colby Lewis (8-7, 1.23 WHIP, 4.29 ERA) hasn’t been dominant this season, but his 2-0 record, coupled with his 0.87 WHIP and 2.18 ERA, over his last 20.2 innings show that he’s found his stride. Lewis has won his last 3 straight starts against Oakland and has allowed a total of 19 earned runs over his last 10 starts against the Athletics. Oakland can’t hit this year and their batting average of .220 on the road attests to that. For anyone expecting the Athletics to break out of the funk anytime soon, keep in mind that Oakland has swatted a horrid .212 over their last 10 games.
MLB Best Bet for Saturday
The fact of the matter is that the Athletics can’t hit anyone and that Texas is hitting .312 over their last 10 games. Combine that with the Rangers’ .284 average at home and it is safe to say that Texas is going to score more runs here. Against potent offenses, this bullpen could be an issue. However, Oakland has hit so weakly all season long that I’m not sure they’d be able to light up Triple-A relief pitchers at this point.
Athletics 3
Rangers 6