UFC 140 Preview: Odds and Predictions on Entire Fight Card

Written by Jake Thompson
Friday, 09 December 2011 22:30

Our UFC 140 predictions are ready to go, and we’ll cover the entire fight card in this preview.

Let’s preview the UFC 140 fight card with predictions on every single fight going down on December 10th at the Air Canada Centre in Toronto.  We’ll take a look at the UFC 140 odds from 5Dimes Sportsbook and then take a look at the entire card.  The UFC 140 odds were taken into consideration when making these predictions, and there are some incredible bets on the board.

All of the UFC 140 odds used in this article can be found at 5Dimes Sportsbook, and we recommend betting on mixed martial arts with them.  They have a wide selection of wagering options and also allow bets on many organizations smaller than the UFC.  Our readers who click on the above link to get signed up will also get a 50% cash bonus on top of their first deposit!

UFC 140 Odds:

Jon Jones -485

Lyoto Machida +385

Frank Mir -250

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira +210

Tito Ortiz +175

Antonio Rogerio Nogueira -210

Brian Ebersole -130

Claude Patrick +110

Mark Hominick -460

Chan Sung Jung +365

Krzysztof Soszynski -265

Igor Pokrajac +225

Jared Hamman -180

Constantinos Philippou +158

Dennis Hallman +155

John Makdessi -175

Yves Jabouin -175

Walel Watson +155

Mark Bocek -170

Nik Lentz +150

Rich Attonito -240

Jake Hecht +200

John Cholish -345

Mitch Clarke +285

UFC 140 Predictions:

Jon Jones vs. Lyoto Machida

Many are predicting that Machida is the chosen one to take Jones’ light heavyweight belt, but I just don’t see it.  Machida has never shown incredible takedowns, and I feel that he’s going to have a hard time covering distance in the striking game.  Jones has a massive reach and Machida’s stance places him even further away from his opponent than other contenders that the champion has dispatched of.  Machida is tough and has skills in all areas, but ultimately I see Jones getting the victory by submission after rocking the challenger with one of his trademark out-of-nowhere strikes.

Frank Mir vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Mir batter Nogueira in the first fight between the 2 at UFC 92, and I just don’t think anything has really changed.  Nogueira backers will be quick to point out that he fought Mir while recovering from a staph infection that hindered his training, but he’s now older and is showing some miles on that battered frame of his.  The underdog still has skills, but beating an overrated and green Brendan Schaub hasn’t convinced me he’s back to his prime.  Look for Mir to control where the fight takes place while using his superior power and striking to end this fight with punches before the judges get a chance to give their opinion.

Tito Ortiz vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

Although the smaller Nogueira brother showed excellent takedown defense in his loss against Phil Davis, I still am not convinced he’ll be able to stay upright against Ortiz’s wrestling.  Nogueira has excellent boxing and a solid ground game, but ultimately I have to favor Ortiz’s excellent chin, strong wrestling, and ground and pound expertise.  Look for Ortiz to have top position for much of the fight as the judges award him a unanimous decision against the scrappy but overmatched Nogueira.

Brian Ebersole vs. Claude Patrick

Ebersole has one of the best chins in the fight game today, and he also brings some above average wrestling, striking, and submissions into the octagon.  He’s one of my personal favorites, but I have to go with Patrick to get the win here.  Ebersole tries odd attacks from all angles, but he’s often off balance when doing so.  Patrick is a very technical fighter that knows how to stay out of trouble no matter where the fight goes, and I think he’ll be able to use his jab and takedowns to win the fight by decision.

Chan Sung Jung vs. Mark Hominick

This is one of the most off UFC lines that I’ve ever seen, and I have no problem putting a nice chunk of change on the “Korean Zombie” to pull the upset.  Hominick has excellent striking, but his submission and takedown defense are question marks.  Sung Jung is known mostly for his wild brawls, but has since taken to a more measured approach.  He won his last fight against Leonard Garcia by submission and I don’t think he’ll get pulled into standing up with Hominick.  Look for the huge underdog to work his takedowns en route to a submission victory in the first round or two.

Jared Hamman vs. Constantinos Philippou

Philippou has the striking background and should be able to stay upright.  He has a nice shot to get the knockout.

Dennis Hallman vs. John Makdessi

Makdessi’s striking is fun to watch, but Hallman is a veteran with a huge edge in the submission department.  Look for him to win by tapping out his opponent, as long as the weight cut isn’t going to limit his energy.

Yves Jabouin vs. Walel Watson

Jabouin will dominate the striking, while Watson will dominate once it hits the octagon canvas.  I’ve seen enough of Watson to believe he’ll be able to get the fight to the ground without getting knocked out.  Watson by submission in the 2nd.

Krzysztof Soszynski vs. Igor Pokrajac

Soszynski has the striking edge, is tough as nails, and is strong enough to dictate where he wants the fight to go.  Let’s go with a 3rd round kimura for “The Polish Experiment” in what should be a fun fight for the fans.

Mark Bocek vs. Nik Lentz

Bocek has a dangerous ground game but he looked too drained at the weigh-ins.  I’ll call for Lentz to use his wrestling to win a lackluster decision.

Rich Attonito vs. Jake Hecht

Attonito has the wrestling edge here and he should keep himself out of danger no matter where the fight takes place.  He’ll get the decision.

John Cholish vs. Mitch Clarke

I gave a slight edge to Cholish before I saw Clarke show up looking like a zombie at the weigh ins, and now my mind has been made up.  Clarke prides himself on his pace, but I doubt he’ll have much of a gas tank.  Look for a 2nd round submission for Cholish.